Every favourite

Hard front-end race on soft ground

Raced on the front end on soft or heavy ground last time, was ridden and then headed or weakened. A hard race that seems to leave a mark.

With it323 bets · 28.8% won · 0.90 v market · -30.9% at SP · -26.0% at Betfair SP

Without13,725 bets · 33.9% won · 1.06 v market · -11.4% at SP · -2.3% at Betfair SP

Failed comeback after a year off

Failed to finish last time on its first run for a year or more.

With it4 bets · 25.0% won · 0.94 v market · -40.6% at SP · -39.7% at Betfair SP

Without14,044 bets · 33.8% won · 1.05 v market · -11.9% at SP · -2.8% at Betfair SP

Flattered closer

Held up last time in a race that fell apart for the front-runners, and finished in the first 40% without winning. The leaders came back to it; the close finish was not earned.

With it281 bets · 27.8% won · 0.97 v market · -12.4% at SP · -0.9% at Betfair SP

Without13,767 bets · 33.9% won · 1.06 v market · -11.9% at SP · -2.9% at Betfair SP

Repeat slow startscontextual

Missed the break in two or more of its last three runs.

With it126 bets · 29.4% won · 1.06 v market · -14.1% at SP · -3.4% at Betfair SP

Without13,922 bets · 33.8% won · 1.05 v market · -11.8% at SP · -2.8% at Betfair SP

Eye-catcher last timecontextual

Beaten last time with a visible excuse: finished strongly, travelled well, or met trouble and finished close up. Everyone saw it, so the price already allows for it.

With it1,699 bets · 33.2% won · 1.05 v market · -13.2% at SP · -4.8% at Betfair SP

Without12,349 bets · 33.9% won · 1.05 v market · -11.7% at SP · -2.6% at Betfair SP