AB1: veterans aged 10

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   AB1: veterans aged 10 KILLED amber

   because Aged 10 in a veterans' handicap chase. Predicted below the market.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%' AND age = 10

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.07 on 629 bets, by period 1.13 · 1.00 · 1.19. info

   Betfair SP return +2.2%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.19. Zone: all. On AB1: veterans aged 10

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   2020-222581.13

   2023 to a year ago2831.00

   Last year881.19

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   AB1: veterans aged 10 Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.073 on 629 bets