AB3: veterans aged 12 plus

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   AB3: veterans aged 12 plus KILLED red

   because Aged 12+ in a veterans' handicap chase. Predicted above the market.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%' AND age >= 12

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.02 on 257 bets, by period 1.07 · 1.07. info

   Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.00). Zone: all. On AB3: veterans aged 12 plus

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   2020-221301.07

   2023 to a year ago991.07

   Last year28–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   AB3: veterans aged 12 plus Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.023 on 257 bets