Threads · class · H04-down-in-class
H04: down in class
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.012 on 102460 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H04: down in class KILLED red
because Dropped in class after being beaten: the easier race is the plan.
race_class > last_race_class AND (last_position IS NULL OR last_position > 1)
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 102,460 bets, by period 1.00 · 1.03 · 1.00. info
Betfair SP return +3.0%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.03. Zone: all. On H04: down in class
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-2240,6131.002023 to a year ago46,1171.03Last year15,7301.00Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H04: down in class Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.012 on 102460 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Dropped in class after being beaten: the easier race is the plan.