Threads · story · H117-badly-hampered
H117: badly hampered
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.367 on 88 bets (broad AMBER)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H117: badly hampered KILLED amber
because Badly hampered last time (the remark says badly, severely or heavily).
lt_badly_hampered = 1 AND (last_position IS NULL OR last_position > 1)
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.37 on 88 bets, by period 1.23. info
Betfair SP return +3.2%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.00). Zone: all. On H117: badly hampered
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half39–Later half491.23Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H117: badly hampered Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.367 on 88 bets (broad AMBER)
Where it started
Badly hampered last time (the remark says badly, severely or heavily).