Threads · trainer-named · H144-prescott-three-year-olds-in-middle-distance-handicaps
H144: prescott three year olds in middle distance handicaps
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.019 on 308 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H144: prescott three year olds in middle distance handicaps KILLED red
because Sir Mark Prescott's three-year-olds in handicaps over a mile and a quarter or more, early in their handicap careers: qualified over short trips at two, then stepped up and run up a sequence.
trainer LIKE 'Sir Mark Prescott%' AND age = 3 AND is_handicap = 1 AND distance_yards >= 2200 AND prior_handicap_runs <= 3
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.02 on 308 bets, by period 1.06 · 0.99 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return +5.0%. Unstable: periods range 0.99 to 1.06. Zone: all. On H144: prescott three year olds in middle distance handicaps
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-221271.062023 to a year ago1290.99Last year52Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H144: prescott three year olds in middle distance handicaps Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.019 on 308 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Sir Mark Prescott's three-year-olds in handicaps over a mile and a quarter or more, early in their handicap careers: qualified over short trips at two, then stepped up and run up a sequence.