Threads · story · H19-momentum-interrupted-beaten-narrowly
H19: momentum interrupted beaten narrowly
- Hypotheses
- 11 (3 alive)
- Depth
- 1
- Best rung
- Live
- Open questions
- 7
- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 14:56
Where it stands: The data can't answer this yet. Checked-and-recovered runners scored 1.59 on 31 bets (control 0.87) but were killed when 1 of 1 attacks broke them, with too few bets per period and country, so they can't be told apart from the parent.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H19: momentum interrupted beaten narrowly PROMISING green
because Met trouble while making its move last time and was still beaten 2 lengths or less.
last_momentum_interrupted = 1 AND last_position > 1 AND last_beaten_lengths <= 2
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.18 on 242 bets, by period 1.07 · 1.26. info
Where it started
Met trouble while making its move last time and was still beaten 2 lengths or less.