Threads · course · H44-specialists-at-very-sharp-tracks
H44: specialists at very sharp tracks
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.016 on 1632 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H44: specialists at very sharp tracks KILLED red
because Two or more wins at a very sharp track (Chester, Fakenham, Cartmel...): these suit a type, and it is the type.
track_sharpness = 3 AND prior_course_wins >= 2
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.02 on 1,632 bets, by period 1.09 · 1.03 · 0.89. info
Betfair SP return -22.8%. Unstable: periods range 0.89 to 1.09. Zone: all. On H44: specialists at very sharp tracks
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-223471.092023 to a year ago9411.03Last year3440.89Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H44: specialists at very sharp tracks Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.016 on 1632 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Two or more wins at a very sharp track (Chester, Fakenham, Cartmel...): these suit a type, and it is the type.