Threads · pace-at-the-jumps · IQ07-fast-into-its-obstacles-and-gained-ground
IQ07: fast into its obstacles and gained ground
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 1.008 on 5873 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ07: fast into its obstacles and gained ground KILLED red
because Last run: top quarter for speed into the obstacles and top quarter for ground gained at them. Jumps well at racing pace, which is what a stronger race asks.
race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND l_entry_speed_pct >= 0.75 AND l_lgj_pct >= 0.75made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 5,873 bets, by period 1.01 · 1.00. info
Betfair SP return -5.7%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.01. Zone: all. On IQ07: fast into its obstacles and gained ground
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half3,1201.01Later half2,7531.00Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ07: fast into its obstacles and gained ground Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.008 on 5873 bets
Where it started
Last run: top quarter for speed into the obstacles and top quarter for ground gained at them. Jumps well at racing pace, which is what a stronger race asks.