Threads · first-3m · IQ110-second-try-at-3m-after-not-finishing-the-first
IQ110: second try at 3m after not finishing the first
- Hypotheses
- 1 (1 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Promising
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: IQ110-second-try-at-3m-after-not-finishing-the-first (IQ110: second try at 3m after not finishing the first) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.20 on 868 bets (periods 1.38 / 1.02 / 1.03); now PROMISING.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ110: second try at 3m after not finishing the first PROMISING green
because Second chase at 3m+, having failed to finish the first. The market has one run to go on and it says the horse does not stay.
race_type = 'Chase' AND distance_yards >= 5280 AND f3_kind IS NOT NULL AND (f3_pulled_up = 1 OR f3_fell = 1)
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.20 on 868 bets, by period 1.38 · 1.02 · 1.03. info
Betfair SP return +102.2%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.36). Zone: all. On IQ110: second try at 3m after not finishing the first
Where it started
Second chase at 3m+, having failed to finish the first. The market has one run to go on and it says the horse does not stay.