IQ142b: hurdle prep yes

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ142b: hurdle prep yes KILLED amber

   because LOOK: hurdle run as a prep for a handicap chase, and its speed into the hurdles was in the upper half of the field.

   (race_type = 'Chase' AND region = 'GB' AND is_handicap = 1 AND is_novice = 0 AND last_race_type = 'Hurdle' AND days_since_last_run <= 45 AND prior_chase_runs >= 2 AND (last_position IS NULL OR last_position >= 4) AND sp_decimal <= 15) AND l_entry_speed_pct IS NOT NULL AND l_entry_speed_pct >= 0.5

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.25 on 52 bets. info

   Betfair SP return +50.9%. Zone: all. On IQ142b: hurdle prep yes

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half30–

   Later half22–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ142b: hurdle prep yes Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.248 on 52 bets