Threads · remark-v-cost · IQ151a-error-in-remark-little-cost
IQ151a: error in remark little cost
- Hypotheses
- 1 (1 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Promising
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.901 on 862 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ151a: error in remark little cost PROMISING negative
because A: chase, beaten; jumping error in the remark, better half for ground gained. Predicted below the market.
race_type = 'Chase' AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND last_position > 1 AND last_jumping_error IS NOT NULL AND l_lgj_pct IS NOT NULL AND last_jumping_error = 1 AND l_lgj_pct >= 0.5
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.90 on 862 bets, by period 0.88 · 0.96. info
Betfair SP return -13.9%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ151a: error in remark little cost
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half6390.88Later half2230.96Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
IQ151a: error in remark little cost Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [broad] NEGATIVE A/E 0.901 on 862 bets
Where it started
A: chase, beaten; jumping error in the remark, better half for ground gained. Predicted below the market.