IQ30: control flat last run paced

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ30: control flat last run paced KILLED red

   because CONTROL: every Flat runner whose last run has furlong times. Should be 1.00.

   race_type = 'Flat' AND l_late_pct IS NOT NULL

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.00 on 65,979 bets, by period 1.01 · 1.00. info

   Betfair SP return -1.1%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.01. Zone: all. On IQ30: control flat last run paced

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half27,1841.01

   Later half38,7951.00

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ30: control flat last run paced Discovery → KILLEDimport: control; best [broad] RED A/E 1.004 on 65979 bets