Threads · jumping-under-pressure · IQ38-jumped-well-under-pressure-and-beaten
IQ38: jumped well under pressure and beaten
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 0.988 on 2045 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ38: jumped well under pressure and beaten KILLED red
because Last run: led or raced prominently, top quarter for speed into its obstacles, top quarter for ground gained, in the quicker half to recover, and beaten. It kept its jumping together in the hardest kind of race to do it in.
race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND last_run_style IN ('led', 'prominent') AND l_entry_speed_pct >= 0.75 AND l_lgj_pct >= 0.75 AND l_recovery_time_pct <= 0.5 AND (last_position > 1 OR last_position IS NULL)made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.99 on 2,045 bets, by period 1.01 · 0.95. info
Betfair SP return -5.3%. Unstable: periods range 0.95 to 1.01. Zone: all. On IQ38: jumped well under pressure and beaten
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half1,3951.01Later half6500.95Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ38: jumped well under pressure and beaten Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.988 on 2045 bets
Where it started
Last run: led or raced prominently, top quarter for speed into its obstacles, top quarter for ground gained, in the quicker half to recover, and beaten. It kept its jumping together in the hardest kind of race to do it in.