Threads · finish · IQ40-fastest-finisher-with-nothing-in-the-remark
IQ40: fastest finisher with nothing in the remark
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 0.987 on 4576 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ40: fastest finisher with nothing in the remark KILLED red
because Last run: faster over the final third than at least nine in ten of the other finishers, did not win, and the remark says nothing of a strong finish. The finish was real and nobody wrote it down.
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND last_strong_finish = 0 AND l_late_pct >= 0.9 AND last_position > 1made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.99 on 4,576 bets, by period 0.98 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return -1.5%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ40: fastest finisher with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half2,0590.98Later half2,5170.99Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ40: fastest finisher with nothing in the remark Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.987 on 4576 bets
Where it started
Last run: faster over the final third than at least nine in ten of the other finishers, did not win, and the remark says nothing of a strong finish. The finish was real and nobody wrote it down.