Threads · pulled-up-overlay · IQ61b-pulled-up-jumped-well-then-pulled-up-all prices
IQ61b: pulled up jumped well then pulled up all prices
- Hypotheses
- 1 (1 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Promising
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: IQ61b-pulled-up-jumped-well-then-pulled-up-all prices (IQ61b: pulled up jumped well then pulled up all prices) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.38 on 362 bets (periods 1.16 / 1.99); now PROMISING.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ61b: pulled up jumped well then pulled up all prices PROMISING green
because [all prices] Jump Index in the top quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (57th percentile or better). It was jumping well, so jumping was not why it stopped.
last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND 1 = 1 AND l_jump_index_pct >= 0.57made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.38 on 362 bets, by period 1.16 · 1.99. info
Betfair SP return +34.3%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.83). Zone: all. On IQ61b: pulled up jumped well then pulled up all prices
Where it started
[all prices] Jump Index in the top quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (57th percentile or better). It was jumping well, so jumping was not why it stopped.