IQ62a: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ62a: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter KILLED amber

   because [system, 14-1 or shorter] Jump Index in the bottom quarter of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field (8th percentile or worse). The jumping fell apart.

   last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND sp_decimal <= 15 AND l_jump_index_pct <= 0.08

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.19 on 99 bets, by period 1.31. info

   Betfair SP return -2.9%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.00). Zone: all. On IQ62a: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half671.31

   Later half32–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ62a: pulled up jumped worst then pulled up system, 14 1 or shorter Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.186 on 99 bets