IQ67b: pulled up jumped badly now easier fences all prices

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ67b: pulled up jumped badly now easier fences all prices KILLED amber

   because [all prices] Jump Index in the lower half of pulled-up horses for where it stood in its field, and today's chase is at a track with easy fences.

   last_pulled_up = 1 AND last_run_style IN ('held_up', 'midfield') AND 1 = 1 AND l_jump_index_pct <= 0.29 AND race_type = 'Chase' AND track_fences = 'easy'

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.26 on 57 bets. info

   Betfair SP return +87.6%. Zone: all. On IQ67b: pulled up jumped badly now easier fences all prices

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half37–

   Later half20–

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ67b: pulled up jumped badly now easier fences all prices Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.262 on 57 bets