Threads · pressure · IQ73-has-been-passed-and-come-back

IQ73: has been passed and come back

Hypotheses: 1 (1 alive)
Depth: 0
Best rung: Promising
Open questions: 0
Last activity: 15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: best [soft or heavy] NEGATIVE A/E 0.908 on 1304 bets

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ73: has been passed and come back PROMISING negative
because In an earlier run in today's code it was first or second late on, lost a place, and took a place back. The strictest sign of a horse that fights: passed, and not beaten.
```
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_rally_n >= 1
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.95 on 9,398 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.98. info
Betfair SP return -6.9%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half3,8180.91
Later half5,5800.98
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
jumps: A/E 0.94 on 2,869 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return -10.7%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half1,8170.91
Later half1,0520.99
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
Flat: A/E 0.95 on 6,529 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -5.3%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,0010.91
Later half4,5280.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
stiff finish: A/E 0.96 on 2,264 bets, by period 0.91 · 1.00. info
Betfair SP return -6.8%. Unstable: periods range 0.91 to 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half8940.91
Later half1,3701.00
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
ten runners or fewer: A/E 0.95 on 5,317 bets, by period 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -0.3%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,2640.93
Later half3,0530.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
soft or heavy: A/E 0.91 on 1,304 bets, by period 0.89 · 0.94. info
Betfair SP return -13.8%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half8110.89
Later half4930.94
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
led or prominent last time: A/E 0.94 on 5,509 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -5.5%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,2290.91
Later half3,2800.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
14/1 or shorter: A/E 0.94 on 7,061 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.8%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,9820.91
Later half4,0790.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
IQ73: has been passed and come back Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [soft or heavy] NEGATIVE A/E 0.908 on 1304 bets

Where it started

In an earlier run in today's code it was first or second late on, lost a place, and took a place back. The strictest sign of a horse that fights: passed, and not beaten.

IQ73: has been passed and come back

Hypotheses

1 (1 alive)

Depth

Best rung

Promising

Open questions

Last activity

15 Oct, 23:10

Where it stands: best [soft or heavy] NEGATIVE A/E 0.908 on 1304 bets

The notebook

Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ73: has been passed and come back PROMISING negative
because In an earlier run in today's code it was first or second late on, lost a place, and took a place back. The strictest sign of a horse that fights: passed, and not beaten.
```
race_type IN ('Flat', 'Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_rally_n >= 1
```
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.95 on 9,398 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.98. info
Betfair SP return -6.9%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half3,8180.91
Later half5,5800.98
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
jumps: A/E 0.94 on 2,869 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return -10.7%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half1,8170.91
Later half1,0520.99
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
Flat: A/E 0.95 on 6,529 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -5.3%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,0010.91
Later half4,5280.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
stiff finish: A/E 0.96 on 2,264 bets, by period 0.91 · 1.00. info
Betfair SP return -6.8%. Unstable: periods range 0.91 to 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half8940.91
Later half1,3701.00
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
ten runners or fewer: A/E 0.95 on 5,317 bets, by period 0.93 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -0.3%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,2640.93
Later half3,0530.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
soft or heavy: A/E 0.91 on 1,304 bets, by period 0.89 · 0.94. info
Betfair SP return -13.8%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half8110.89
Later half4930.94
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
led or prominent last time: A/E 0.94 on 5,509 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -5.5%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,2290.91
Later half3,2800.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
14/1 or shorter: A/E 0.94 on 7,061 bets, by period 0.91 · 0.97. info
Betfair SP return -9.8%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ73: has been passed and come back
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3
Earlier half2,9820.91
Later half4,0790.97
Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets.
Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
IQ73: has been passed and come back Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [soft or heavy] NEGATIVE A/E 0.908 on 1304 bets

Where it started

In an earlier run in today's code it was first or second late on, lost a place, and took a place back. The strictest sign of a horse that fights: passed, and not beaten.