IQ80: jumps control front rank late twice

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ80: jumps control front rank late twice KILLED red

   because CONTROL: jumps; first or second inside the last five furlongs in two or more earlier runs in today's code.

   race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_front_n >= 2

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.03 on 8,574 bets, by period 1.02 · 1.05. info

   Betfair SP return +4.5%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.03). Zone: all. On IQ80: jumps control front rank late twice

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half5,0731.02

   Later half3,5011.05

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ80: jumps control front rank late twice Discovery → KILLEDimport: control; best [broad] RED A/E 1.03 on 8574 bets