IQ81: jumps thou shall not pass

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ81: jumps thou shall not pass KILLED red

   because Jumps: resisted a late challenge in two or more earlier runs in today's code and has never folded under one.

   race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_resist_n >= 2 AND s_folded_n = 0

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.00 on 2,267 bets, by period 0.96 · 1.06. info

   Betfair SP return +0.3%. Unstable: periods range 0.96 to 1.06. Zone: all. On IQ81: jumps thou shall not pass

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half1,4630.96

   Later half8041.06

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ81: jumps thou shall not pass Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.997 on 2267 bets