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System: Favourites shorter than 1/4
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- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: published system (live from 2026-10-13)
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In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
System: Favourites shorter than 1/4 LIVE
because Very short prices win more often than the odds imply: the favourite-longshot bias.
is_favourite = 1 AND sp_decimal < 1.25
made by import
Where it started
Very short prices win more often than the odds imply: the favourite-longshot bias.