VET3: old up in trip

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   VET3: old up in trip KILLED amber

   because Aged 10+, a chase after a chase, today 2f or more further. Predicted above the market.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age >= 10 AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND last_distance_yards IS NOT NULL AND distance_yards - last_distance_yards >= 440

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.07 on 374 bets, by period 1.13 · 0.77. info

   Betfair SP return +4.4%. Unstable: periods range 0.77 to 1.13. Zone: all. On VET3: old up in trip

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half3161.13

   Later half580.77

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   VET3: old up in trip Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.073 on 374 bets