VET5: younger up in trip

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   VET5: younger up in trip PROMISING green

   because CONTROL: aged 6 to 9, a chase after a chase, today 2f or more further.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND last_distance_yards IS NOT NULL AND distance_yards - last_distance_yards >= 440

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.05 on 1,918 bets, by period 1.07 · 1.01. info

   Betfair SP return +8.0%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.06). Zone: all. On VET5: younger up in trip

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half1,5311.07

   Later half3871.01

3. Promoted15 Oct, 23:10

   VET5: younger up in trip Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [broad] GREEN A/E 1.053 on 1918 bets

4. Observed16 Oct, 10:10

   VET5-younger-up-in-trip (VET5: younger up in trip) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.05 on 1918 bets (periods 1.07 / 1.01); now PROMISING.

   result0.30waiting for a reasoning passfrom VET5-younger-up-in-trip