VET8: younger heavy defeat engine intact

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   VET8: younger heavy defeat engine intact PROMISING green

   because CONTROL: aged 6 to 9, the same as VET6.

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND l_same_code = 1 AND last_position > 1 AND last_beaten_lengths >= 15 AND s_top_speed_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND s_jump_index_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND s_top_speed_rel_last >= s_top_speed_rel_prev AND s_jump_index_rel_last >= s_jump_index_rel_prev

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.30 on 219 bets, by period 1.24 · 1.42. info

   Betfair SP return +47.7%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.18). Zone: all. On VET8: younger heavy defeat engine intact

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half1371.24

   Later half821.42

3. Promoted15 Oct, 23:10

   VET8: younger heavy defeat engine intact Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [broad] GREEN A/E 1.298 on 219 bets

4. Observed16 Oct, 10:10

   VET8-younger-heavy-defeat-engine-intact (VET8: younger heavy defeat engine intact) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.30 on 219 bets (periods 1.24 / 1.42); now PROMISING.

   result0.30waiting for a reasoning passfrom VET8-younger-heavy-defeat-engine-intact