VET8r: younger heavy defeat engine intact

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   VET8r: younger heavy defeat engine intact KILLED amber

   because SECOND LOOK on rebuilt history: VET8 unchanged (control).

   race_type = 'Chase' AND age BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AND last_race_type = 'Chase' AND l_same_code = 1 AND last_position > 1 AND last_beaten_lengths >= 15 AND s_top_speed_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND s_jump_index_rel_prev IS NOT NULL AND s_top_speed_rel_last >= s_top_speed_rel_prev AND s_jump_index_rel_last >= s_jump_index_rel_prev

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.14 on 303 bets, by period 0.99 · 1.48. info

   Betfair SP return +26.7%. Unstable: periods range 0.99 to 1.48. Zone: all. On VET8r: younger heavy defeat engine intact

   By period

   betsA/E0.71.01.3

   Earlier half2080.99

   Later half951.48

3. Killed15 Oct, 23:10

   VET8r: younger heavy defeat engine intact Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] AMBER A/E 1.136 on 303 bets