Course winners at the foot of a handicap chase

Hard front-end race on soft ground

Raced on the front end on soft or heavy ground last time, was ridden and then headed or weakened. A hard race that seems to leave a mark.

With it24 bets · 16.7% won · 1.04 v market · 25.5% at SP · 37.0% at Betfair SP

Without534 bets · 18.0% won · 1.12 v market · 9.4% at SP · 31.3% at Betfair SP

Failed comeback after a year off

Failed to finish last time on its first run for a year or more.

With it1 bets · 0.0% won · 0.00 v market · -100.0% at SP · -100.0% at Betfair SP

Without557 bets · 18.0% won · 1.12 v market · 10.3% at SP · 31.8% at Betfair SP

Flattered closer

Held up last time in a race that fell apart for the front-runners, and finished in the first 40% without winning. The leaders came back to it; the close finish was not earned.

With it3 bets · 0.0% won · 0.00 v market · -100.0% at SP · -100.0% at Betfair SP

Without555 bets · 18.0% won · 1.12 v market · 10.7% at SP · 32.3% at Betfair SP

Repeat slow startscontextual

Missed the break in two or more of its last three runs.

With itno selections

Without558 bets · 17.9% won · 1.12 v market · 10.1% at SP · 31.6% at Betfair SP

Eye-catcher last timecontextual

Beaten last time with a visible excuse: finished strongly, travelled well, or met trouble and finished close up. Everyone saw it, so the price already allows for it.

With it43 bets · 16.3% won · 0.80 v market · -39.7% at SP · -35.3% at Betfair SP

Without515 bets · 18.1% won · 1.15 v market · 14.3% at SP · 37.2% at Betfair SP