IQ13: gains ground jumping every time

Mechanism and rationale

Gained ground on the field's average at the obstacles in each of its last three runs in today's code. A lasting trait the form figures do not show.

The rule

race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_n3 = 3 AND s_lgj_pos3 = 3

Reads: race_type, s_n3, s_lgj_pos3

Pre-registration

Spec hash (sha256 of the canonical pre-spec)

not designed yet

Frozen

not frozen

The definition can still change.

Broad

race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_n3 = 3 AND s_lgj_pos3 = 3

Kind

remarks

Origin

research/experiments/raceiq/results.jsonl

Refinements

none

Result (from the archive)

info broad · 15 Oct, 23:10

Bets

3,537

A/E

1.01

winners vs the prices

SP return

-18.5%

level stakes

Betfair SP return

-3.2%

3,527 bets with a BSP

Strike rate 16.5%.

Falsification

No attacks yet. Only promising ideas are attacked.

Sealed holdout (vault)

Not queried. Only a frozen idea can spend its one query against the 2020-25 holdout.

Forward record

No forward record. Shadow tracking starts after the vault and counts only races run after the freeze.

Lineage

No parent and no descendants yet. When an agent mutates, generalises or splits this idea, the new hypotheses appear here.

Agent runs

No agent has worked on this yet.

Timeline

1. IQ13-gains-ground-jumping-every-time Discovery → KILLED import: best [broad] RED A/E 1.011 on 3537 bets

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

2. import result for IQ13-gains-ground-jumping-every-time (broad): info

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

3. New idea IQ13-gains-ground-jumping-every-time: IQ13: gains ground jumping every time (import)

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

Every change is an event with an actor: an agent and its version, an engine, a human, or the importer. Current stage: Killed.