IQ16: keeps its speed through the obstacles

Mechanism and rationale

Has averaged in the 35% of its fields losing least speed at the obstacles over its last two or three runs in today's code. Momentum kept, worth most on sharp tracks where there is no room to make it back.

The rule

race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_n3 >= 2 AND s_speed_lost_pct_avg3 >= 0.65

Reads: race_type, s_n3, s_speed_lost_pct_avg3

Pre-registration

Spec hash (sha256 of the canonical pre-spec)

not designed yet

Frozen

not frozen

The definition can still change.

Broad

race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_n3 >= 2 AND s_speed_lost_pct_avg3 >= 0.65

Kind

remarks

Origin

research/experiments/raceiq/results.jsonl

Refinements

none

Result (from the archive)

info broad · 15 Oct, 23:10

Bets

6,801

A/E

1.01

winners vs the prices

SP return

-20.5%

level stakes

Betfair SP return

-0.6%

6,788 bets with a BSP

Strike rate 13.7%.

Falsification

No attacks yet. Only promising ideas are attacked.

Sealed holdout (vault)

Not queried. Only a frozen idea can spend its one query against the 2020-25 holdout.

Forward record

No forward record. Shadow tracking starts after the vault and counts only races run after the freeze.

Lineage

No parent and no descendants yet. When an agent mutates, generalises or splits this idea, the new hypotheses appear here.

Agent runs

No agent has worked on this yet.

Timeline

1. IQ16-keeps-its-speed-through-the-obstacles Discovery → KILLED import: best [broad] RED A/E 1.009 on 6801 bets

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

2. import result for IQ16-keeps-its-speed-through-the-obstacles (broad): info

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

3. New idea IQ16-keeps-its-speed-through-the-obstacles: IQ16: keeps its speed through the obstacles (import)

   15 Oct, 23:10 · importer

Every change is an event with an actor: an agent and its version, an engine, a human, or the importer. Current stage: Killed.