Hypotheses · old-chasers · VET2-veterans-races
VET2: veterans races
best [broad] RED A/E 1.0 on 196 bets
Starts the thread “VET2: veterans races” 1 hypothesis
- Proposed
- Designed
- Discovery
- Promising
- Falsification
- Frozen
- Vault
- Provisional
- Shadow
- Validated
- Live
- Source
- Imported from the RaceiQ study
- Made by
- import
- Created
- 15 Oct, 23:10
- Tests logged
- 1
Mechanism and rationale
A LOOK ONLY: runners in veterans' chases.
The rule
race_type = 'Chase' AND age >= 10 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%'
Reads: race_type, age, race_name
Pre-registration
- Spec hash (sha256 of the canonical pre-spec)
- not designed yet
- Frozen
- not frozen
- The definition can still change.
- Broad
race_type = 'Chase' AND age >= 10 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%'
- Kind
remarks
- Origin
research/experiments/raceiq/results.jsonl
- Refinements
none
Result (from the archive)
info broad · 15 Oct, 23:10
- Bets
- 196
- A/E
- 1.00
- winners vs the prices
- SP return
- -21.2%
- level stakes
- Betfair SP return
- -4.2%
- 196 bets with a BSP
Strike rate 13.3%.
By period
Falsification
No attacks yet. Only promising ideas are attacked.
Sealed holdout (vault)
Not queried. Only a frozen idea can spend its one query against the 2020-25 holdout.
Forward record
No forward record. Shadow tracking starts after the vault and counts only races run after the freeze.
Lineage
No parent and no descendants yet. When an agent mutates, generalises or splits this idea, the new hypotheses appear here.
Agent runs
No agent has worked on this yet.
Timeline
VET2-veterans-races Discovery → KILLED import: best [broad] RED A/E 1.0 on 196 bets
· importer
import result for VET2-veterans-races (broad): info
· importer
New idea VET2-veterans-races: VET2: veterans races (import)
· importer
Every change is an event with an actor: an agent and its version, an engine, a human, or the importer. Current stage: Killed.