Threads · veterans-age · AB2-veterans-aged-11
AB2: veterans aged 11
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
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- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: AB2-veterans-aged-11 (AB2: veterans aged 11) was predicted positive but went the other way in the earlier research: A/E 0.89 on 419 bets (periods 0.81 / 1.01 / 0.84).
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
AB2: veterans aged 11 KILLED red
because Aged 11 in a veterans' handicap chase. No prediction.
race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND lower(race_name) LIKE '%veteran%' AND age = 11
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.89 on 419 bets, by period 0.81 · 1.01 · 0.84. info
Betfair SP return -1.7%. Unstable: periods range 0.81 to 1.01. Zone: all. On AB2: veterans aged 11
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-221850.812023 to a year ago1541.01Last year800.84Killed15 Oct, 23:10
AB2: veterans aged 11 Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 0.891 on 419 bets
Observed16 Oct, 10:10
AB2-veterans-aged-11 (AB2: veterans aged 11) was predicted positive but went the other way in the earlier research: A/E 0.89 on 419 bets (periods 0.81 / 1.01 / 0.84).
surprise0.40waiting for a reasoning passfrom AB2-veterans-aged-11
Where it started
Aged 11 in a veterans' handicap chase. No prediction.