Threads · race-size · H110-small-field-form-into-a-big-field
H110: small field form into a big field
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 0.999 on 5444 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H110: small field form into a big field KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: placed in a field of 6 or fewer last time, in a field of 14+ today. Small-field form flatters.
last_field_size <= 6 AND last_position <= 3 AND field_size >= 14
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.00 on 5,444 bets, by period 0.99 · 1.05 · 0.90. info
Betfair SP return -21.8%. Unstable: periods range 0.90 to 1.05. Zone: all. On H110: small field form into a big field
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-222,1260.992023 to a year ago2,3351.05Last year9830.90Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H110: small field form into a big field Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 0.999 on 5444 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
NEGATIVE: placed in a field of 6 or fewer last time, in a field of 14+ today. Small-field form flatters.