Threads · age-chase · H172-young-experienced-chaser
H172: young experienced chaser
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 0.998 on 5282 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H172: young experienced chaser KILLED red
because Aged six or less with three or more chases behind it, in a handicap chase: still improving physically but no longer a novice at the job, and rated on what it did while learning.
race_type = 'Chase' AND is_handicap = 1 AND age <= 6 AND chase_runs >= 3
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.00 on 5,282 bets, by period 0.95 · 1.03 · 1.03. info
Betfair SP return -6.0%. Unstable: periods range 0.95 to 1.03. Zone: all. On H172: young experienced chaser
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-221,9720.952023 to a year ago2,4631.03Last year8471.03Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H172: young experienced chaser Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 0.998 on 5282 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Aged six or less with three or more chases behind it, in a handicap chase: still improving physically but no longer a novice at the job, and rated on what it did while learning.