Threads · named-trainer · H18-gordon-elliott-novices
H18: gordon elliott novices
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.018 on 2952 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H18: gordon elliott novices KILLED red
because Gordon Elliott's novices and maidens over jumps.
trainer LIKE 'Gordon Elliott%' AND (is_novice = 1 OR is_maiden = 1) AND race_type IN ('Hurdle', 'Chase')made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.02 on 2,952 bets, by period 1.05 · 0.97 · 1.07. info
Betfair SP return +41.5%. Unstable: periods range 0.97 to 1.07. Zone: all. On H18: gordon elliott novices
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-221,0931.052023 to a year ago1,2850.97Last year5741.07Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H18: gordon elliott novices Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.018 on 2952 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
Gordon Elliott's novices and maidens over jumps.