Threads · collateral · H90-the-form-has-not-worked-out
H90: the form has not worked out
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.001 on 122137 bets (broad RED)
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H90: the form has not worked out KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: five or more rivals from its last race have run since and none has won. A weak race.
hot_runs >= 5 AND hot_wins = 0
made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.00 on 122,137 bets, by period 1.00 · 1.00 · 1.01. info
Betfair SP return +3.9%. Unstable: periods range 1.00 to 1.01. Zone: all. On H90: the form has not worked out
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.32020-2250,2781.002023 to a year ago53,0931.00Last year18,7661.01Killed15 Oct, 23:10
H90: the form has not worked out Discovery → KILLEDimport: tier C: rejected, do not test again unless new data changes the idea; best [broad] RED A/E 1.001 on 122137 bets (broad RED)
Where it started
NEGATIVE: five or more rivals from its last race have run since and none has won. A weak race.