IQ140a: wide trip with figures

The notebook

In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.

1. Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10

   IQ140a: wide trip with figures PROMISING green

   because CONTROL: wide trip, beaten under five, runners whose last run has the figure.

   (last_raced_wide = 1 AND last_position > 1 AND last_beaten_lengths <= 5 AND last_slow_start = 0 AND NOT coalesce(last_run_style IN ('midfield', 'held_up') AND last_race_tilt >= 0.2 AND (last_position - 1.0) / max(last_field_size - 1, 1) <= 0.4, 0)) AND l_top_speed_pct IS NOT NULL

   made by import

2. Tested15 Oct, 23:10

   broad: A/E 1.27 on 1,080 bets, by period 1.15 · 1.41.