Threads · trait · IQ17-erratic-jumper
IQ17: erratic jumper
- Hypotheses
- 1 (0 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Discovery
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: best [broad] RED A/E 1.012 on 3459 bets
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ17: erratic jumper KILLED red
because NEGATIVE: Jump Index has swung widely over its last three runs in today's code (spread of 0.85+, the most erratic quarter). The good day sets the price.
race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND s_n3 = 3 AND s_jump_index_std3 >= 0.85made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.01 on 3,459 bets, by period 1.05 · 0.99. info
Betfair SP return +5.3%. Unstable: periods range 0.99 to 1.05. Zone: all. On IQ17: erratic jumper
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half1,0491.05Later half2,4100.99Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Killed15 Oct, 23:10
IQ17: erratic jumper Discovery → KILLEDimport: best [broad] RED A/E 1.012 on 3459 bets
Where it started
NEGATIVE: Jump Index has swung widely over its last three runs in today's code (spread of 0.85+, the most erratic quarter). The good day sets the price.