Threads · remark-v-figures · IQ33-costly-jumping-with-nothing-in-the-remark
IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
- Hypotheses
- 1 (1 alive)
- Depth
- 0
- Best rung
- Promising
- Open questions
- 0
- Last activity
- 16 Oct, 10:10
Where it stands: IQ33-costly-jumping-with-nothing-in-the-remark (IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.09 on 3604 bets (periods 1.11 / 1.03); now PROMISING.
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark PROMISING green
because Last run: bottom fifth of the field for ground gained jumping and in the slower half to recover, completed and beaten, and no jumping error in the remark. A cost nobody wrote down, so nobody allows for it.
race_type IN ('Chase', 'Hurdle') AND last_jumping_error = 0 AND l_lgj_pct <= 0.2 AND l_recovery_time_pct >= 0.5 AND last_position > 1made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 1.09 on 3,604 bets, by period 1.11 · 1.03. info
Betfair SP return +15.4%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.08). Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half2,4841.11Later half1,1201.03Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Tested15 Oct, 23:10
chase today: A/E 1.14 on 1,034 bets, by period 1.13 · 1.16. info
Betfair SP return +24.2%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.03). Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half7471.13Later half2871.16Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Tested15 Oct, 23:10
last run in today's code: A/E 1.13 on 3,182 bets, by period 1.15 · 1.08. info
Betfair SP return +22.8%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.07). Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half2,2351.15Later half9471.08Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Tested15 Oct, 23:10
14/1 or shorter: A/E 1.06 on 1,584 bets, by period 1.10 · 0.98. info
Betfair SP return +3.9%. Unstable: periods range 0.98 to 1.10. Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half1,0831.10Later half5010.98Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Tested15 Oct, 23:10
normally a good jumper (already seen in batch 1): A/E 1.54 on 281 bets, by period 1.48 · 1.64. info
Betfair SP return +125.0%. Every period above 1.00 (spread 0.16). Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half1751.48Later half1061.64Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Tested15 Oct, 23:10
normally a poor jumper: A/E 0.89 on 749 bets, by period 0.95 · 0.79. info
Betfair SP return -37.1%. Every period below 1.00. Zone: all. On IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark
By period
betsA/E0.71.01.3Earlier half4580.95Later half2910.79Bars grow from 1.00, the market. Faded bars have fewer than 40 bets. Promoted15 Oct, 23:10
IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark Discovery → PROMISINGimport: best [normally a good jumper (already seen in batch 1)] GREEN A/E 1.543 on 281 bets
Observed16 Oct, 10:10
IQ33-costly-jumping-with-nothing-in-the-remark (IQ33: costly jumping with nothing in the remark) was GREEN in the earlier research: A/E 1.09 on 3604 bets (periods 1.11 / 1.03); now PROMISING.
result0.30waiting for a reasoning passfrom IQ33-costly-jumping-with-nothing-in-the-remark
Where it started
Last run: bottom fifth of the field for ground gained jumping and in the slower half to recover, completed and beaten, and no jumping error in the remark. A cost nobody wrote down, so nobody allows for it.