Threads · shape · H52-flattered-closer
H52: flattered closer
- Hypotheses
- 2 (2 alive)
- Depth
- 1
- Best rung
- Live
- Open questions
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- Last activity
- 15 Oct, 23:10
Where it stands: tier N: a negative; best [last run at a sharp track] NEGATIVE A/E 0.757 on 559 bets (broad NEGATIVE); published as NEG-flattered-closer
The notebook
In order: what the lab saw, what it asked, what it proposed and why, what the tests said, and what an investigator concluded. Numbers are aggregates on the discovery data unless a step says otherwise.
Hypothesised15 Oct, 23:10
H52: flattered closer PROMISING negative
because NEGATIVE: held up in a race that fell apart for the leaders and finished in the first 40% without winning.
last_run_style IN ('midfield', 'held_up') AND last_race_tilt >= 0.2 AND last_position > 1 AND (last_position - 1.0) / max(last_field_size - 1, 1) <= 0.4made by import
Tested15 Oct, 23:10
broad: A/E 0.83 on 1,511 bets, by period 0.79 · 0.85. info
Where it started
NEGATIVE: held up in a race that fell apart for the leaders and finished in the first 40% without winning.